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The Russians Aren't Going to Have Enough Conventional Forces to Do This.
Russia would need to take control of five countries, including Moldova and poland. If krane is able to keep the fire lit, then the russians aren't going to have enough conventional forces to do this. And that's when the neks become a very real question, right? The only thing worse than hav russia that didn't try to do this and just kind of shrivels in time would be a russia that leaped forward, launched the war, paid all the prices for the war and still remained strategically unmoored.