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Hivemind: Trump's Clean Sweep, the Bitcoin Reserve, and Finding the Fastest Horse

Empire

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Exploring Prediction Markets During Elections

This chapter examines the role of prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, in accurately gauging public sentiment during recent elections. It contrasts the effectiveness of these markets with traditional polling methods and discusses the implications for future betting markets, including regulatory challenges and liquidity issues. The conversation also highlights the potential of predictive markets to reflect complex geopolitical events and the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency applications.

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