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#50 Ta(l)king Risks & Embracing Uncertainty, with David Spiegelhalter

Learning Bayesian Statistics

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Are You Confident in Your Uncertainty?

i like the idea of being confident in your uncertainty, and quant people co twittern talk about those poles that are wrongad misguided at trin. What i do too when i communicate around powls and polly motrls and trlike not giving olede the mean, but arrange of ucertainty and being very clear. And crucially, to emphasize at just because we don't know everything, doesn't mean we don'tknow anything. Wedot know a huge amount. We can say, we can con en, we can rule out x is ebingtons, no, just that this is just not feasible. But where there is so deep uncertainty, a

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