2min chapter

People I (Mostly) Admire cover image

86. A Million-Year View on Morality

People I (Mostly) Admire

CHAPTER

The Probability of Near Extinction of Humanity

In the next hundred years, somewhere between point one and one %. My ovanal conclusion was relatively optimistic about our chances of civilization rebounding. I think it's much more likely than not that we would rebound a few different kind of pathways. Or reasons for thinking this is that when we look at local catastrophes, society just tends to bounce back.

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