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The Uncertainty of the Future
The course of history is in large part based on new technology. We can't know the future since if we did, we would already have invented it. If I have a good invention and you do or you've got your lovely blog, at any moment, people may decide it's not interesting or they might find it terribly interesting. So that is a fundamentally dynamic and complex system. The underlying value cannot be known via human perception but rather through statistics.