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Investing Beyond The Profit Squeeze

Notes on the Week Ahead

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Corporate Taxes Should Not Hurt Profit Growth in 2023

Tax increases should also hurt profit growth in 2023 but not in 2024. Divided government suggests that there will be no further increase in corporate taxes before 2025 at the earliest. A higher dollar cut US profits from abroad in 2022 and even if the dollar were to drift down from current levels to the rest of the year, 2023 corporate taxes would be handicapped by a high exchange rate. However, a slow fall in the dollar from here could boost earnings from abroad in 2024 and beyond.

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