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Do we have a Deal?
Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
The Importance of Probability in Policymaking
I'm closer to Goldman in part because you have you have US consumption has just been remarkably strong. You've got a labor market, which is red hot and shows no signs of stopping. And the hotness of a labor market allows people to continue to spend with a fair amount of confidence. So I'm more in the golden camp around 35% chance of recession. But you know, there's always a chance.
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