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#33 - Anders Sandberg on what if we ended ageing, solar flares & the annual risk of nuclear war

80,000 Hours Podcast

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Near Misses - What's a Near Miss?

The most famous near miss was 19 83, when staniser petrov herd did his heroic non action of not launching a nuclear war. So now, if we live in a very dangerous world, should they expect to see a lot of near misses, or a few of em? And i do a mathematical model, and veditas are maybe a bit too boring to bring up in a podcost but basically, have a mark of chain model. It seems that actually the nuclear system isla y stable. That doesn't necessarily mean it's safe at all. In fact, it's kind of disturbing how many problems have been on different levels and how irrational some of the actors with nuclear

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