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Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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Why Predict It Isn't Using Advanced Forecasting Technology

Predict It sued the CFTC, saying their decision was arbitrary and capricious. The original court that was hearing the lawsuit dragged its feet so Predict It appealed to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals who issued a preliminary injunction allowing them to keep operating. But the appeals court ruled that they were going to rule on CFTC's original bad action and not this later better action.

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