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US Bull, China Bear
Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
The Equity Market Priced in a Recession
The average or median of the equity market in past recessions, that number is factoring in a high likelihood of a recession. So what could actually argue that the equity market already priced in a recession? Not to your yield curve point, we actually have our yield curve diffusion index. And whenever that index has hit 100, we have had a recession except for the mid-1960s.
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