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Indexing Bubble and Asset Class Returns Still Revert to the Mean

Money For the Rest of Us

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Exploring Reversion to the Mean and Its Impact on Asset Returns

This chapter examines the principle of reversion to the mean through the lens of Shiller earnings yield and its relationship to historical stock market performance. It discusses how starting valuations affect future returns while debunking myths about equity risk premiums and highlighting the risks of today's low dividend yields and high valuations.

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