The Polls Are Predicting Elections Like the 2008 Democratic Primary

The polls are very predictive at this point, compared to actually what we'll have later. The person who is leading in the polls in these few months here at the beginning of the year before has over a 50% chance of winning the nomination. That makes my bet with Steve Hayes look pretty good, because way, way back, Steve and I made a bet that if Trump ran, he would get the nomination.