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2min chapter
Irina Rish–AGI, Scaling and Alignment
The Inside View
How to Predict Emergent Behaviors in AI Scaling Community
It would be useful to understand better their learning processes, and for online purposes, you could predict emergent behaviors before it happened. If you have a functional form that can be better at extrapolating performance, and you manage to get just enough data points, that will be another probably follow-up paper. And the thing is, if you manage to fit, well, the functional form should be sufficiently rich to be able to model wide range of this phenomena.
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