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What Alex Tabarrok Thinks About Basically Everything

Village Global Podcast

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Inductive Versus Deductive in Economics?

Robin Hanson: There's a huge amount of inductive evidence in favor of prediction markets. You know, we've had prediction markets for elections for 25 years now and they predict better with less variability than do polls or other methods. He says to make sense of a highly complex variable world you cannot control, you have to think deductively.

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