Excess Returns  cover image

Systematic Global Macro Investing with GMO’s Martin Emery

Excess Returns

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How Do You Assess Inflation Risk?

Inflation itself is actually probably one of the hardest economic variables to actually forecast. But I think you really have a situation here where markets probably under pricing the risk of high inflation. The probability of inflation being higher or at least disappointing months is actually reasonably high. We've been through a period of significant monetary expansion. All these probably suggest that inflation isn't going to be immediately passing.

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