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Assessing Top Global Security Threats with Expert Frederick Kagan

Intelligence Matters

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The Ukrainians Are Still Holding Back Forces

I can't give you an estimate with the same kind of confidence that I have about the Russians. It seems pretty clear to me that the Ukrainians are still holding back forces in hopes of conducting another counter offensive operation. What I'm concerned about is the material. They've lost a lot of tanks. We have only just committed to giving them Western tanks, having exhausted our supply of Soviet air and stuff. So I don't know what General Zunuzhny, the Ukrainian chief of staff, has in his back pocket. I hope it's something and I hope that he will surprise the Russians and us with the counter offensive soon.

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