2min chapter

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas cover image

216 | John Allen Paulos on Numbers, Narratives, and Numeracy

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

CHAPTER

The Conjunction Fallacy

Cognitive pointables in general are a big part of what leads people astray. We're all vulnerable to the anchoring effect, availability, or confirmation bias. One that doesn't get as much publicity is the conjunction fallacy. It's always easier to satisfy one condition than two or more conditions.

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