3min chapter

Top Traders Unplugged cover image

GM31: The Art of Volatility Investing ft. Dave Dredge

Top Traders Unplugged

CHAPTER

Equity Vol Is a Negative Predictor of Volatility in the Short Term

Dealer positioning really is a very strong predictor a negative predictor for volatility over shorter time frames. In 2017 we saw the lowest realized and implied volatility in 150 years of equity history. That essentially leads to over leverage things going to fall one direction or another. Over longer time for a year essentially stretching the rubber band and creating a bigger tail.

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