5min chapter

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The End Game Scenario for the Bank of Japan

Market Depth

CHAPTER

The Bank Japan's Yield Curve Control Strategy

The BOJ has trapped itself in yield curve control as it currently stands, because it's simultaneously expected to hold the line at their explicit trading bands while also being expected to rid this policy incrementally or altogether. Japan cannot afford to have higher borrowing costs period, because this is the most indebted country in the world and its demographic structure does not allow for debt to be repaid in principle. The government spends about a quarter of the national budget in just servicing existing debt. If JGBs were lifted to 1%, that's a four-fold increase in borrowing costs compared to interest rate levels by the Ministry of Finance. You can't have borrowing costs go up even a little bit when you're already

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