

#19370
Mentioned in 2 episodes
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
Book • 1999
Richards J. Heuer Jr.'s "Psychology of Intelligence Analysis" is a seminal work in the field of intelligence studies.
It delves into the cognitive biases and mental processes that can affect the accuracy of intelligence assessments.
The book emphasizes the importance of self-awareness, critical thinking, and rigorous analytical techniques to mitigate these biases.
Heuer's work has had a profound impact on how intelligence agencies approach analysis, promoting a more systematic and self-critical approach to decision-making.
The book's insights are relevant not only to intelligence professionals but also to anyone involved in complex decision-making processes.
It delves into the cognitive biases and mental processes that can affect the accuracy of intelligence assessments.
The book emphasizes the importance of self-awareness, critical thinking, and rigorous analytical techniques to mitigate these biases.
Heuer's work has had a profound impact on how intelligence agencies approach analysis, promoting a more systematic and self-critical approach to decision-making.
The book's insights are relevant not only to intelligence professionals but also to anyone involved in complex decision-making processes.
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Mentioned in 2 episodes
Mentioned by Michael Mauboussin for a quote about experts needing to unlearn when the world changes.

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#659: Michael Mauboussin — How Great Investors Make Decisions, Harnessing The Wisdom (vs. Madness) of Crowds, Lessons from Race Horses, and More
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as a guide to analyzing competing hypotheses and keeping an open mind.

Brent Donnelly

Will The Fed Cut by 25 or 50 bps?