#35075
Mentioned in 1 episodes
Why Speculate?
Book •
Michael Crichton's "Why Speculate?
" delves into the complexities of prediction and the limitations of relying solely on available data.
The essay challenges readers to critically examine the assumptions underlying predictions, particularly in fields like science and finance.
Crichton highlights the inherent uncertainties and biases that can lead to inaccurate forecasts.
He emphasizes the importance of considering alternative explanations and acknowledging the limitations of knowledge.
The essay serves as a cautionary tale against overconfidence in predictions and the need for intellectual humility.
" delves into the complexities of prediction and the limitations of relying solely on available data.
The essay challenges readers to critically examine the assumptions underlying predictions, particularly in fields like science and finance.
Crichton highlights the inherent uncertainties and biases that can lead to inaccurate forecasts.
He emphasizes the importance of considering alternative explanations and acknowledging the limitations of knowledge.
The essay serves as a cautionary tale against overconfidence in predictions and the need for intellectual humility.
Mentioned by
Mentioned in 1 episodes
Mentioned by Tina Vandersteel when discussing the concept of 'gelman amnesia' and how it relates to interpreting news.
12 snips
Tina Vandersteel on Emerging-Country Debt (Podcast)
