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Welcome to the Turbulent Twenties
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Jack Goldstone and Peter Turchin's essay, 'Welcome to the Turbulent Twenties', predicts a period of heightened instability in the United States.
The authors base their forecast on historical patterns and mathematical models that identify key factors contributing to social upheaval.
They highlight rising economic inequality, increasing political polarization, and declining social cohesion as critical drivers of instability.
The essay suggests that these trends, if left unchecked, could lead to significant social unrest and political crises in the coming decade.
Goldstone and Turchin's analysis draws on historical examples to illustrate how similar conditions have led to turmoil in the past.
The essay serves as a warning about the potential for social and political disruption in the near future.
The authors base their forecast on historical patterns and mathematical models that identify key factors contributing to social upheaval.
They highlight rising economic inequality, increasing political polarization, and declining social cohesion as critical drivers of instability.
The essay suggests that these trends, if left unchecked, could lead to significant social unrest and political crises in the coming decade.
Goldstone and Turchin's analysis draws on historical examples to illustrate how similar conditions have led to turmoil in the past.
The essay serves as a warning about the potential for social and political disruption in the near future.
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when discussing that populism rises not just from economic collapse, but also from the fear that society itself is changing too fast.


Tom Bilyeu

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America’s Red Flags: Tom’s 5-Step Playbook to Survive Turbulent Times | Tom Bilyeu Deep Dive